Isolated factories, standing alone in a landscape, carry a quiet inefficiency that rarely shows up on a balance sheet. They operate as solitary units, absorbing
The Problem With Western Assumptions About Russian Economic Collapse
Every few months, another headline pops up in the Western press. Russia’s economy, we’re told, is finally about to buckle. Sanctions are cutting deep. The
Why Western Forecasts Keep Getting Russia Wrong
Beyond the Sanctions Narrative In 2014, when the first sanctions packages landed, Western analysts lined up to predict an outright Russian collapse. Balance-of-payments crises, cascading
Why the West Keeps Getting Russia’s Economy Wrong
For more than two years now, I’ve watched a strange ritual repeat itself. Western newspapers, think tanks, and finance gurus line up to predict the
How Resource Economics Drives Strategic Decision-Making in Energy-Dependent Economies
An energy-dependent economy lives in the shadow of its own ground. When oil, gas, or coal receipts make up the lion’s share of GDP, exports,
Why Supply Chain Resilience Requires More Than Just Diversification
Every major disruption delivers the same uncomfortable truth: diversification by itself doesn’t make a supply chain resilient. The pandemic, the Suez Canal blockage, and a
The State as Banker: How Development Banks Are Reshaping Industrial Strategy
Private capital markets have a blind spot. They discount long time horizons, swerve around policy-contingent returns, and bolt from sectors where upfront capital costs swallow